Hey guys and gals experienced daytrader here, i have decided to give some helping hand to community, giving 5 to 10 minutes a day to answer some questions if anyone needs a helping hand. I have been trading all three major retail markets since 2011, Forex, equities and crypto. If you have any questions in topics related to trading in general, or any of those markets specifically feel free to ask.
Or you can also check blog with some outlined topics related to trading, and the markets above in general:
https://www.tradethematrix.net
My primary focus is heavily research oriented approach to markets (quantitative analysis), finding specific structural / orderflow setups that can be executed with edge over many repetitions, using fundamental and technical price analysis approach. High priority focus in high amount of executions and extraction of edge trough many repetitions, using primitive machine learning approach to learning and trading in general.
If you have questions such as how to scale positions, suggested literature, research questions, how to learn fundies etc...ill by giving my best go to answer it.

I see a lot of people getting unemployment here

Nonostante l' euro dollaro sia in una fase di estrema incertezza e così anche le altre valute del forex possiamo fare alcune considerazioni che ci aiutano a capire quali potrebbero essere gli scenari a breve termine su questa valuta. Link: http://www.greedydolphins.com/03/03/2011/forex/analisi-tecnica/doppio-massimo-e-divergenza-su-eurusd/

Hầu hết những bất hạnh chúng ta lo lắng không bao giờ thành hiện thực. Trên thực tế, 85% nỗi sợ hãi của mọi người không bao giờ xảy ra, theo nhà tâm lý học Tiến sĩ Robert Leahy. Kiến thức mà hầu hết những lo lắng không bao giờ xảy ra có thể là một chiến lược trong thế giới tài chính mà hầu hết những người mới bỏ qua.
Nỗi sợ hãi giữa các nhà đầu tư là một lý do khiến giá tài sản giảm, nhưng nếu chúng ta biết rằng 85% thời gian những nỗi sợ đó là không có cơ sở, chúng ta cũng biết rằng giá giảm tương ứng có khả năng bị hạn chế. Cái nhìn sâu sắc này thực sự có thể cung cấp một cơ hội giao dịch có thể đưa bạn đi trước đường cong. Bán một tài sản ngay khi bắt đầu sụp đổ tạo ra lợi nhuận cao nhất, nhưng làm thế nào một nhà giao dịch có thể nhận được cảnh báo sớm đó.
Phân tích kỹ thuật
Giao dịch yếu tố sợ hãi là một chiến lược mà về cơ bản chúng ta ‘mua sợ hãi’. Chiến lược này là duy nhất bởi vì không có AI hoặc thuật toán nào có thể ảnh hưởng đến cảm xúc của con người hoặc tâm lý bầy đàn. Một vấn đề là thời gian. Rất thường thị trường sẽ tiếp tục giảm trong một thời gian sau khi nỗi sợ hãi xuất hiện. Tại thời điểm nào bạn mua nỗi sợ? Nhảy vào quá sớm và bạn có thể phải vượt qua một đợt giảm giá lớn. Điều đó tốt nếu bạn có túi sâu như Warren Buffet, nhưng đối với phần còn lại của chúng tôi, nó có thể đánh vần thảm họa.
Một giải pháp có thể là sử dụng phân tích kỹ thuật để giúp thời gian rẽ. Trong khi không có cách nào dễ dàng để gọi đáy, có rất nhiều công cụ cụ thể có sẵn để trợ giúp. Chúng bao gồm các mô hình đảo chiều cổ điển như đáy đôi, hội tụ động lượng, mô hình đảo chiều nến, phân tích sóng Elliot và các chỉ báo DeMark.
Tất cả các chỉ số này được cài đặt sẵn trên nền tảng MT4 và khi được áp dụng cho yếu tố sợ hãi, tạo ra một triển vọng hoàn toàn khác về biến động giá, nhưng yếu tố con người là một phần của phương trình tạo ra sự khác biệt.
Kết hợp cả hai và bạn sẽ có được một chiến lược giao dịch rất độc đáo và mạnh mẽ. Warren Buffet từng nổi tiếng khuyên các nhà đầu tư nên mua hàng khi những người khác sợ hãi và bán khi họ tham lam. Năm 2008-09 ở đỉnh điểm của cuộc khủng hoảng tài chính lớn, mặc dù lo ngại rằng toàn bộ hệ thống ngân hàng sẽ đi vào tường tư vấn riêng và bình tĩnh mua cổ phiếu ngân hàng sau khi họ đã giảm giá hời.
Mặc dù phải mất hai nỗ lực để Quốc hội phê chuẩn một gói cứu trợ, cuối cùng họ đã làm được và chú Sam đã đến giải cứu. Cổ phiếu ngân hàng nhanh chóng tăng giá và cuối cùng Buffet đã có lời rất lớn.
Những ví dụ trước đây về nỗi sợ di chuyển thị trường
Chẳng hạn, năm 2016, đồng Euro suy yếu khi nỗi sợ hãi lan rộng rằng chủ nghĩa dân tộc sắp tràn ngập châu Âu. Tuy nhiên, cả trong cuộc bầu cử tổng thống Pháp, nơi Marine Le Pen, ứng cử viên mặt trận quốc gia đã thua Emmanuel Macron, và tại Hà Lan, nơi đảng Tự do dân túy Geert Wilders chỉ giành được 13,1% phiếu bầu, những nỗi sợ này đã được chứng minh quá mức. Sau cuộc bầu cử, Euro đã bắt đầu một cuộc biểu tình kéo dài nhiều tháng.
Trong năm 2011-12, đồng Euro cũng lao dốc vì lo ngại lây nhiễm và ‘sự kết thúc của thị trường tài chính làm rung chuyển đồng Euro sau khi ba quốc gia, Hy Lạp, Ireland và Bồ Đào Nha, tất cả đều vỡ nợ. Cuối cùng, những nỗi sợ hãi này đã được chứng minh là quá mức và các cuộc khủng hoảng đã được ngăn chặn. Nhìn chung, điều này không có gì đáng ngạc nhiên vì GDP kết hợp của ba quốc gia chỉ chiếm 6% tổng Eurozone nên thiệt hại mà họ có thể gây ra luôn có khả năng bị hạn chế. Sau khi ECB can thiệp bằng một chương trình các biện pháp, thị trường đã bình tĩnh trở lại và trong năm 2013, đồng Euro đã tăng điểm.
Xem tin tức để ra quyết định
Khi kiểm tra tin tức tài chính và lịch kinh tế điện tử, bạn sẽ bắt đầu thấy các bài viết thúc đẩy sự sợ hãi. Công việc của bạn là một nhà giao dịch là tự hỏi bản thân xem dự báo có khác với thông thường không. Brexit là một để kiểm tra. Nhìn lại 12 tháng qua và xem những gì phát hành đã ảnh hưởng đến thị trường và những gì xảy ra ngay sau đó. Đã có một sự trở lại trong giá? Lần tới khi bạn nghe thấy lời cam kết và u ám, bạn có thể muốn đợi cho đến khi sự sụt giảm ban đầu xảy ra, và sau đó xem xét lệnh mua kịp thời để bắt kịp sự đảo chiều.
Để tìm hiểu sâu hơn về Forex bạn hãy vào Group Telegram để nhận thêm nhiều kiến thức, tin tức và chiên lược giao dịch TẠI ĐÂY

I am trying to take the arbitrary value of USD out of the stock market and truly understand if the market is up or down excluding impact of inflation and Forex. Yes, you can argue the Feds can manipulate the value of USD by playing with interest rates and pump and dump the market at will. BUT, they can't control the price of gold against worldwide currencies. So I figured the value of S&P in terms of ounces of gold may be a great way to judge where the market is at right now and give me an insight otherwise not possible to see.
So after Google'ing the concept, I found out that this is actually a way to measure market performance and very commonly used. I was not the one who came up with the idea first, haha.
So anyway, currently we are sitting at 1.68x ratio (1.68 ounces of gold equals S&P500 value)/

• The high point was Aug 2000 at 5.53x. That signalled overheated market which actually started coming down less than a year later.

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• The low point was Aug 2011 at 0.67x. That signalled the low of the real estate market actually.

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• The most recent high was Aug 2018 at 2.40x.

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• Currently, May 2020, it is at 1.68x

Let me know what you think!
See image, Reddit doesn't let me post:
https://i.imgur.com/PHlnAvJ.jpg
​
Source: https://www.macrotrends.net/1437/sp500-to-gold-ratio-chart

While reasearching Epstein's known associates, an interesting individual stood out. Lynn Forester de Rothschild, Lady de Rothschild. No intention of this being a Rothschild Conspiracy. If your are uninterested to read the content below, scroll down to Comment to get my summary and take on this information. As always please Fact check this.
(HJI) is a bi-partisan, transatlantic movement of business leaders, senior policy makers and academics focused on promoting a more Inclusive Capitalism. The HJI calls for international collaboration from businesses and other organizations to encourage the widest possible adoption of programs that improve capitalism as a driver of wellbeing for society.
The HJI grew out of the Task Force project For Inclusive Capitalism, which sought solutions to the effects on society and business as a result of the global financial crisis of 2007 – 2008 and the dislocations caused by capitalism’s practice over the past 30 years. The Taskforce, which was co-chaired by Dominic Barton, Global Managing Director, McKinsey & Company, and Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild, CEO, El Rothschild, published its inaugural paper Towards a More Inclusive Capitalism in May 2012. The report sets out three pathways for business action that lie at the heart of the HJI’s mandate:

1. Education for employment: addressing the gap between employer needs and employee skills
2. Nurture start-ups and SMEs: mentoring small businesses and improving access to credit for them
3. Reform management and governance for the long term: replacing today’s focus on short term performance

The HJI exists to highlight and support businesses and other organizations working to promote the broadest possible adoption of best practices in these and other areas related to Inclusive Capitalism. The HJI believes there is an urgent and compelling demand for business to act to address the greatest systemic issues facing capitalism today. The HJI also believes that business is best positioned to lead innovations in areas that need them the most.

WHO WAS HENRY JACKSON?

Henry Martin "Scoop" Jackson (May 31, 1912 – September 1, 1983) was an American politician who served as a U.S. Representative (1941–1953) and U.S. Senator (1953–1983) from the state of Washington). A Cold War liberal and anti-Communist Democrat), Jackson supported higher military spending and a hard line against the Soviet Union, while also supporting social welfare programs, civil rights, and labor unions.
Jackson was awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom posthumously in 1984; Ronald Reagan called him "one of the greatest lawmakers of our century," and stated:

Scoop Jackson was convinced that there's no place for partisanship in foreign and defense policy. He used to say, 'In matters of national security, the best politics is no politics.' His sense of bipartisanship was not only natural and complete; it was courageous. He wanted to be President, but I think he must have known that his outspoken ideas on the security of the Nation would deprive him of the chance to be his party's nominee in 1972 and '76. Still, he would not cut his convictions to fit the prevailing style. I'm deeply proud, as he would have been, to have Jackson Democrats serve in my administration. I'm proud that some of them have found a home here.

Criticism

Jackson was known as a hawkish Democrat. He was often criticized for his support for the Vietnam War and his close ties to the defense industries of his state. His proposal of Fort Lawton as a site for an anti-ballistic missile system was strongly opposed by local residents, and Jackson was forced to modify his position on the location of the site several times, but continued to support ABM development. American Indian rights activists who protested Jackson's plan to give Fort Lawton to Seattle, instead of returning it to local tribes, staged a sit-in. In the eventual compromise, most of Fort Lawton became Discovery Park), with 20 acres (8.1 ha) leased to United Indians of All Tribes, who opened the Daybreak Star Cultural Center there in 1977.
Opponents derided him as "the Senator from Boeing" and a "whore for Boeing" because of his consistent support for additional military spending on weapons systems and accusations of wrongful contributions from the company; in 1965, 80% of Boeing's contracts were military. Jackson and Magnuson's campaigning for an expensive government supersonic transport plane project eventually failed.
After his death, critics pointed to Jackson's support for Japanese American internment camps during World War II as a reason to protest the placement of his bust at the University of Washington.Jackson was both an enthusiastic defender of the evacuation and a staunch proponent of the campaign to keep the Japanese-Americans from returning to the Pacific Coast after the war.

Jackson Papers controversy

Senator Jackson's documents were donated to the University of Washington shortly after his death in 1983, and have been archived there ever since.When the materials were donated in 1983, university staff removed all information considered classified at the time.Additional materials were added to the collection until 1995.
At some point, library staff discovered a classified document in the collection and sent it to the government for declassification. In response, in the summer of 2004, a man who identified himself as an employee of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) called the University of Washington asking to inspect Senator Jackson's archived documents housed there. He found a document labelled as classified and showed this to a librarian.[48] In February 2005, 22 years after Jackson's death, a five-person team including staff of the CIA, Department of Defense, the Department of Energy, and the Information Security Oversight Office came to library to review all of Jackson's papers to remove anything still considered classified, or reclassified since then. The Department of Energy found nothing of concern, but the CIA blanked lines in about 20 papers and pulled 8 documents out of collection. As of 2018, some files in the collection are available only to those regarded by the library as "serious researchers", who must first sign a release not to divulge some of the information contained in the files.

The Henry Jackson Society

The society was founded on 11 March 2005 by academics and students at Cambridge, including Brendan Simms, Alan Mendoza, Gideon Mailer, James Rogers and Matthew Jamison. It organises meetings with speakers in the House of Commons. The society claims that it advocates an interventionist) foreign-policy that promotes human rights and reduces suffering, by both non-military and military methods, when appropriate.
In 2006, the society worked to raise the profile of the Ahwazi Arabs of Iran, who it claims are currently being oppressed by the Iranian government.
After originating within the University of Cambridge, the organisation is now based in London. In April 2011 the entire staff of another London think-tank, the Centre for Social Cohesion (which has since been dissolved), joined the Henry Jackson Society.
The organisation is a registered charity in England and Wales and earns financial backing from private donations and grant-making organisations which support its work. The income of the society increased significantly from 2009 to 2014, from £98,000 to £1.6 million per year.
In 2017 Hannah Stuart, one of the society's Research Fellows, released Islamist Terrorism: Analysis of Offences and Attacks in the UK (1998–2015), which profiled every individual convicted under terrorism legislation in the UK between those dates with an Islamist connection.

Structure and projects

The Society has produced a breadth of research reports and papers. These have mostly focused on Islamist extremist activity in the UK, crackdowns on human rights and democracy elsewhere, and various facets of foreign policy and defence.Its current workstreams include:

• Asia Studies Centre. This Centre seeks to provide "an in-depth understanding of the structural shifts, regional complexities and historic tensions that exist alongside the tremendous economic and social growth that traditionally characterise the 'rise of Asia'."Publications include a paper on the possible outcomes of the negotiations with North Korea,and the need to safeguard critical national infrastructure in the West from vulnerabilities which may be built in by China.
• Global Britain Programme. Focuses on "the need for an open, confident and expansive British geostrategic policy in the twenty-first century – drawing on the United Kingdom’s unique strengths not only as an advocate for liberalism and national democracy, but also as a custodian of both the European and international orders." This centre has published papers on what the European Union 'owes' the United Kingdom, as well as advocated for increased military spending by NATO members.
• Russia & Eurasia Studies Centre. Researches domestic and foreign policy issues in Russia and the former Soviet states. In 2018 the Conservative) MP Bob Seely published a paper through this Centre which sought to define 'Contemporary Russian Conflict', and in which he accused the government of Vladimir Putin of pursuing KGB-style tactics.
• Centre for the New Middle East. Established following the Arab Spring, the Society describes this Centre as "dedicated to monitoring political, ideological, and military and security developments across the Middle East and providing informed assessments of their wide-ranging implications". The Centre has released reports highly critical of Iran.
• Centre on Radicalisation & Terrorism. Focuses on the threat to the United Kingdom and elsewhere by Islamist terrorism. Reports have ranged from analyses of the UK charitable sector to the way in which criminals utilise the darknet.
• Student Rights. Created in 2009 "as a reaction to increasing political extremism and marginalisation of vulnerable students on campus". This project has tracked what it describes as "extreme" speakers on British university campuses.

In September 2018, the Society announced the creation of a new Centre for Social and Political Risk. This Centre will "identify, diagnose and propose solutions to threats to governance in liberal Western democracies", focusing on social cohesion and integration; freedom of speech and political correctness; demographic change; and other issues.

Criticism

The think tank has been described by the media as having right-wing and neoconservative leanings, though it positions itself as non-partisan.In 2014, Nafeez Ahmed, an executive director of the Institute for Policy Research & Development, said that the Henry Jackson Society courts corporate, political power to advance a distinctly illiberal oil and gas agenda in the Middle East.
In 2009 the society became the secretariat of two all-party parliamentary groups (APPGs), for Transatlantic and International Security, chaired by Gisela Stuart, and for Homeland Security, chaired by Bernard Jenkin. A transparency requirement upon non-profit organisations acting as secretariat at that time was that they must reveal, on request, any corporate donors who gave £5,000 or more to the organisation over the past year or cease acting as a secretariat organisation. In 2014, following a query, the society refused to disclose this information and resigned its position as secretariat of the APPGs concerned in order to comply with the Rules. The Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards, Kathryn Hudson, upheld a complaint against these APPGs on the grounds data had not been provided, but noted the society had already resigned its position and that the consequence of this non-provision therefore "appears to have taken effect" as the Rules intended. The case was therefore closed with no further action taken and the APPGs themselves dissolved with the dissolution of Parliament in March 2015. The APPG Rules were subsequently changed in March 2015 so that only those non-profit organisations providing services to APPGs of more than £12,500 in value needed to declare their corporate donors.
In July 2014 the Henry Jackson Society was sued by Lady de Rothschild over funds of a "caring capitalism" summit. Lady de Rothschild claims that she has financed the summit and that HJS and its executive director Alan Mendoza are holding £137,000 of “surplus funds” from the conference that should be returned to the couple’s investment company EL Rothschild.
Think tank discussions on the Middle East and Islam have led some media organisations to criticise a perceived anti-Muslim agenda. Marko Attila Hoare, a former senior member, cited related reasons for leaving the think tank and Scottish Labour leader Jim Murphy was urged, in 2015, to sever his links with the society.
According to the report published in 2015, "a right-wing politics is apparent not only in the ideas that the Henry Jackson Society promotes, but also emerges distinctly on examination of its funders."
In 2017, the Henry Jackson Society was accused of running an anti-China propaganda campaign after the Japanese embassy gave them a monthly fee of 10,000 pounds.The campaign was said to be aimed at planting Japan's concerns about China in British newspapers.
Co-founder Matthew Jamison wrote in 2017 that he was ashamed of his involvement, having never imagined the Henry Jackson Society "would become a far-right, deeply anti-Muslim racist [...] propaganda outfit to smear other cultures, religions and ethnic groups." "The HJS for many years has relentlessly demonised Muslims and Islam."
In January 2019, Nikita Malik of the Henry Jackson Society provided The Daily Telegraph with information they claimed showed a Muslim scout leader was linked to Islamic extremists and Holocaust deniers.In January 2020 The Daily Telegraph issued a retraction and formal apology saying that:
"the articles said that Ahammed Hussain had links to extremist Muslim Groups that promoted terrorism and anti-Semitism, and could have suggested that he supported those views and encouraged their dissemination. We now accept that this was wrong and that Mr Hussain has never supported or promoted terrorism, or been anti-Semitic.We acted in good faith on information received but we now accept that the article is defamatory of Mr Hussain and false, and apologise for the distress caused to him in publishing it. We have agreed to pay him damages and costs."
The initial signatories of the statement of principles included:

• Members of Parliament Michael Ancram, Michael Gove, Edward Vaizey, David Willetts, Denis MacShane, Fabian Hamilton, Gisela Stuart,
• former MPs David Trimble, Jackie Lawrence), Greg Pope,
• former soldier Tim Collins),
• Sir Richard Dearlove – former head of the British Secret Intelligence Service, and formerly Master of Pembroke College, Cambridge – and the American economist Irwin Stelzer.
• Times Journalist Oliver Kamm

International patrons included Richard Perle, William Kristol, former CIA Director R. James Woolsey Jr., and former Lithuanian leader Vytautas Landsbergis.

Comments

This has been a rabbit hole and only half the story regarding Lady Forester. Then only link between Lady Forester and Jeffrey Epstein is In 1995, financier Lynn Forester discussed "Jeffrey Epstein and currency stabilization" with Clinton. Epstein, according to his own accounts, was heavily involved in the foreign exchange market and traded large amounts of currency in the unregulated forex market. I will post another story Lady Forester and the coalition for Inclusive Capitalism.

References

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_Jackson_Society
https://henryjacksonsociety.org/who-was-henry-jackson/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henry_M._Jackson